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Document Details :

Title: Choosing Beauty
Author(s): FRIEDERICH, Simon
Journal: Logique et Analyse
Volume: 240    Date: 2017   
Pages: 449-463
DOI: 10.2143/LEA.240.0.3254092

Abstract :
Reasoning that takes into account self-locating evidence in apparently plausible ways sometimes yields the startling conclusion that rational credences are such as if agents had bizarre causal powers. The present paper introduces a novel version of the Sleeping Beauty problem - Choosing Beauty - for which the response to the problem advocated by David Lewis unappealingly yields this conclusion. Furthermore, it suggests as a general desideratum for approaches to problems of self-locating belief that they should not recommend credences that are as if anyone had anomalous causal powers. Adopting this desideratum, as the paper shows, yields uniformly plausible verdicts on the most-discussed problems of self-locating belief.

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