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Document Details : Title: The Practical Replacement of a Bonus-Malus System Author(s): WALHIN, J.-F. , PARIS, J. Journal: ASTIN Bulletin Volume: 31 Issue: 2 Date: November 2001 Pages: 317-335 DOI: 10.2143/AST.31.2.1008 Abstract : In this paper we will show how to set up a practical bonus-malus system with a finite number of classes. We will use the actual claim amount and claims frequency distributions in order to predict the future observed claims frequency when the new bonus-malus system will be in use. The future observed claims frequency is used to set up an optimal bonus-malus system as well as the transient and stationary distributions of the drivers in the new bonusmalus system. When the number of classes as well as the transition rules of the new bonus-malus system have been adopted, the premium levels are obtained by minimizing a certain distance between the levels of the practical bonus-malus system and the corresponding optimal bonus-malus system. Some iterations are necessary in order to reach stabilization of the future observed claims frequency and the levels of the practical bonus-malus system. |
